Group Stage · Group I · New York/New Jersey (East Rutherford)
🇳🇴
Norway
vs
🇸🇳
Senegal
Jun 23, 12:00 AM UTC · MetLife Stadium
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De-vigged Match Odds (1X2)
NOR46%
DRAW27%
SEN27%
Model pick: Norway ML confidence
Total Goals 2.5
Over
-105
Under
-120
Draftkings
Both Teams To Score
Yes
54%
-130
No
46%
+105
Draw No Bet
NOR
-190
SEN
+150
The Breakdown

Norway’s edge comes from **vertical transitions**: if Senegal’s high press loses its shape, Haaland and Sørloth can attack the space behind instantly, with Schjelderup supplying the final ball from the left or half-spaces. Senegal’s route is to **smother Norway early**, use Mané as the connector between midfield and attack, and break Norway’s compact block before it can settle into its counterattacking posture. The key battles are Haaland vs Senegal’s center-backs, Mané drifting into the pockets behind Norway’s midfield line, and whether Senegal can stop Norway’s wide players from stretching the back four and isolating the fullbacks. With the market almost even, the game likely turns on **first-goal value** and set pieces: whichever side scores first should be able to force the other out of its preferred structure.

Forecasting and informational only — not betting advice.