Spain are the clear control side at **58% no-vig**, so this projects as a game where Uruguay spend long stretches in a compact mid-block, looking to spring **Darwin Núñez** early rather than trade possession. Spain’s main edge should come from **Lamine Yamal** stretching Uruguay’s left side and forcing **Federico Valverde** to cover huge ground, while **Ferran Torres** and **Mikel Oyarzabal** can attack the gaps if Uruguay’s back line gets pinned too deep. Uruguay’s best route is winning second balls and turning the match into a duel-heavy, transition game, with Valverde driving counters and Núñez isolating Spain’s center-backs. The match likely swings on whether Uruguay can survive Spain’s wide overloads without giving away cutbacks and whether their front three can punish Spain before the game settles into Spain’s rhythm.
