Germany should have the ball almost the entire night, with Julian Nagelsmann likely setting them up to pin Curaçao deep and attack through Havertz, Undav and the wide/half-space rotations around them. Curaçao’s best path is a compact low block, protecting Eloy Room with numbers in the box and trying to spring Leandro Bacuna and Jürgen Locadia into rare transitions before Germany’s counterpress locks them in. The key battles are Germany’s creative midfielders between the lines versus Curaçao’s central screening, plus Germany’s fullbacks and wingers against the first line of pressure and recovery runs. With a no-vig market showing Germany at 92%, the match is likely decided by whether Curaçao can survive the first 30 minutes without conceding and whether Germany’s movement is sharp enough to turn territory into early goals.
