| Team | Strength | Outlook |
|---|---|---|
| 1🇹🇷Turkey | 37 | Advances |
| 2🇺🇸USA | 36 | Advances |
| 3🇵🇾Paraguay | 26 | Best-third hunt |
| 4🇦🇺Australia | 19 | Eliminated |
The top two teams in Group D advance directly to the Round of 32. The third-placed team enters the pool of 12 third-place finishers, of whom the eight best also advance — so even a third-place finish can be enough with enough points and goal difference.