Uruguay should have the ball, the territory, and the higher-value chances: a **66%** no-vig market implies they are the clear favorite, and Bielsa’s squad is built around **Valverde’s** engine and **Darwin Núñez’s** direct goal threat. Cape Verde’s path is more compact and disruptive, using **Jovane Cabral**, **Sidny Cabral**, and **Garry Rodrigues** to spring counters and attack the space Uruguay leave when the fullbacks and midfield push high. The key battle is Uruguay’s control through midfield versus Cape Verde’s ability to survive the first press and turn transitions into entries behind the line. If Cape Verde can keep Núñez isolated and force Uruguay into patient circulation, the draw stays live; if Valverde gets second balls and Uruguay pin the back line early, their quality should decide it.
