Group Stage · Group I · Toronto
🇸🇳
Senegal
vs
🇮🇶
Iraq
Jun 26, 7:00 PM UTC · BMO Field
De-vigged Match Odds (1X2)
SEN66%
DRAW21%
IRQ12%
Model pick: Senegal ML confidence
Total Goals 2.5
Over
-115
Under
-110
Draftkings
Both Teams To Score
Yes
44%
+114
No
56%
-144
Draw No Bet
SEN
-700
IRQ
+500
The Breakdown

Senegal should control the game through a **4-3-3 press**, with Mané dropping between the lines to connect possession and then attacking the space behind Iraq’s narrow block. Iraq’s best route is to stay compact in a **4-5-1/4-4-2**, slow the game down, and break quickly through Ali Jasim and Abdulkareem before Senegal’s pressure can reset. The key battles are Senegal’s wide threat—especially **Ismaïla Sarr** and **Bamba Dieng** attacking isolated fullbacks—and Iraq’s ability to keep the center closed so Kevin Yakob can survive the press and release counters. If Senegal win second balls and turn their wide pressure into cutbacks or set pieces, the match points strongly their way; if Iraq can keep it level into the later stages, the draw becomes live.

Forecasting and informational only — not betting advice.