As of July 2025, Justin Jefferson is dealing with a mild left hamstring strain, but he is expected to be fully healthy for the Minnesota Vikings' Week 1 opener. The Vikings are exercising caution, holding him out of preseason activities to ensure his readiness for the regular season.
Despite the injury, Jefferson is projected as a top-2 fantasy wide receiver in 2025, with expectations of scoring over 300 PPR points. His average draft position (ADP) is top-5 overall, reflecting his elite status even with rookie quarterback J.J. McCarthy at the helm.
Jefferson's 2025 projections include 100–120 receptions, 1,400–1,600 yards, and 8–12 touchdowns. His advanced metrics, such as a target share frequently above 28–30% and a yards per route run (YPRR) typically between 2.5–2.9, underscore his high usage and efficiency.
With McCarthy as the starting QB, Jefferson is expected to maintain a volume-based floor, as McCarthy's profile as a controlled, accurate passer will likely focus on Jefferson as the primary read. This should result in continued double-digit target games, although there may be a slight dip in efficiency metrics due to the rookie QB adjustment.
In summary, if Jefferson is healthy for Week 1, he remains an elite, top-2 fantasy wide receiver for 2025. His target monopoly, advanced usage metrics, and the Vikings' offensive structure support his ceiling and floor, even with McCarthy's rookie adjustment risk.
