Finding later round sleeper picks at the QB position can make the winning difference for your team. Brock Purdy, Dak Prescott, Justin Fields are all poised to exceed their average draft positions (ADP), offering tremendous upside without the premium cost.
Here's a closer look at 3 under-the-radar talents who can bolster your roster with high-value depth and potential breakout star power.
Brock Purdy (QB, San Francisco 49ers)
ADP: 94.0
Projected: 306.0 pts, QB9 finish
Key Metrics: 4597 projected passing yards, 25 projected passing TDs
Brock Purdy emerges as a strong sleeper pick for 2025, thanks to his aggressive downfield passing approach highlighted by a low checkdown rate of 5.92%. This complements his impressive third-place ranking in yards per attempt (8.5) and fifth in EPA per dropback (0.17) from last season. Despite a statistical regression in 2024, Purdy's fourth-ranked success rate (49.8%) and increased rushing usage (4.2 rushing fantasy points/game) offer a dual-threat upside, often undervalued at his ADP of 94.0. With the 49ers' offensive line stability and a more focused target distribution post-Deebo Samuel trade, Purdy's role as a franchise cornerstone remains solidified. Expect him to surpass his projected 306.03 points, making him a smart late-round QB option.
Dak Prescott (QB, Dallas Cowboys)
ADP: 97.3
Projected: 286.7 pts, QB12 finish
Key Metrics: 4374 projected passing yards, 26 projected passing TDs
Dak Prescott's sleeper potential in 2025 hinges on his projected passing efficiency despite historical pressure challenges. With a projected 7.38 yards per attempt and a 4.56% touchdown rate, Prescott showcases resilience under duress. His ADP of 97.3 reflects potential undervaluation, particularly as Dallas' offensive line receives reinforcements with first-round pick Tyler Booker. The continuity under new head coach Brian Schottenheimer, maintaining a pass-heavy scheme, should enhance Prescott's efficiency, especially with the addition of George Pickens as a potent receiving option. These factors, coupled with a fully healthy return from injury, suggest a higher fantasy ceiling than expected. Prescott is poised to outperform expectations, making him a savvy sleeper pick.
Justin Fields (QB, New York Jets)
ADP: 91.9
Projected: 294.4 pts, QB11 finish
Key Metrics: 3414 projected passing yards, 16 projected passing TDs
Justin Fields is a sleeper pick at QB with an ADP of 91.9, offering significant upside for 2025. His adaptability under pressure is a key asset, evidenced by maintaining a 7.07 yards per attempt despite facing pressure percentages averaging 44.5%. This resilience is crucial as he transitions to the Jets under a new offensive coordinator known for a dynamic scheme. Fields is projected to score 294.43 points, benefiting from a stable offense featuring Garrett Wilson and Breece Hall. His rushing ability and playmaking outside the pocket are set to be maximized in this new system, potentially outperforming his ADP. Drafting Fields could yield substantial returns, especially in leagues that reward rushing stats.
The Bottom Line: Your Draft Strategy
Targeting sleeper picks at the QB position can be a game-changer in your fantasy football draft strategy. By identifying players like Brock Purdy, Dak Prescott, and Justin Fields, you can secure a quarterback who may outperform their average draft position (ADP) and provide significant value to your roster. These players offer potential upside without the high draft capital typically spent on elite QBs. When approaching your draft, consider waiting to draft a QB, allowing you to focus on skill positions early, and then capitalize on these sleeper opportunities to maximize your team's potential.
